Monday, July 30, 2012

Preferred Stock Prices: Temporary Spike Or A New Normal?

Today's high preferred stock prices and corresponding lower yields are likely to be a temporary spike more so than a "new normal" going forward.

The average market price for high quality preferred stocks started this year at $25.32 per share and closed July at $26.00 - a full dollar above their $25 par value. While there is no way to determine in advance what future prices will do, there is a case to be made that today's high prices will probably come to an end sooner rather than later (months not years).

In fact, as discussed here, it is the short-term behavior of European investors, much more so than our Federal Reserve's monetary policy or any other factor, that will likely lead to lower preferred stock prices in the U.S.

It is tempting to think that today's high preferred stock prices are a direct result of the Federal Reserve's "Operation Twist" monetary policy...

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